According to the bulk list data of SunSirs, the domestic market trend of PA6 was strong in September, and the spot prices of various brands increased significantly this week. As of September 29, the mainstream offer price of 2.75-2.85 of China viscosity by the sample enterprises was about 17,333.33 RMB/ ton, an increase of 11.59% compared with the average price at the beginning of the month, a year-on-year increase of 66.13%.
Industrial chain: upstream, in September, due to good raw material cost and demand, tight supply and rising caprolactam price, the market began to stabilize at the end of the month. At present, downstream enterprises lack follow-up on caprolactam due to dual control, resulting in poor confidence in the field. The supply of raw material pure benzene caprolactam is tight. It is expected that the caprolactam market trend will be stable in the short term.
In September, the upstream caprolactam price continued to be strong, PA6 cost support continued to strengthen, and the spot price followed the rise of raw materials. However, the high cost pressure caused by the high raw materials leads to the low load of the polymerization plant. The high cost pressure is also unfavorable to the improvement of the profitability of the polymerization plant. It is reported that the current negative profit situation of the slicing plant is more common. In terms of demand, there is a large amount of demand in the peak season of this month, the end users take goods better, the supply of low-cost goods in the venue decreases, and the seller camp begins to be reluctant to sell. At the end of the month, the demand was tightened due to the impact of environmental protection policies on the load.
SunSirs analysts believe that caprolactam has strong support for the cost side of PA6 in September, and the spot price of PA6 continues to follow the rise of raw materials. At present, it is in the traditional peak season of “golden nine”, the terminal demand is large, and there is a centralized replenishment market within the month. The market fundamentals are stable, and it is expected that the spot price of PA6 in China may maintain a stable operation in the short term.